Thinking out loud.

I build software, follow questions, and write about what I find. Systems, AI, design, and the occasional loose thread.

From the notebook

All notes (20) →
  1. The Year Nothing Happened

    Terence McKenna said time would end on December 21, 2012. The year felt ordinary. From here it looks like the year most of the present was planted, and I don't trust that feeling.

  2. The Half-Life of a Moat

    AI can already clean-room rebuild commercial software. The useful question is how fast each kind of moat decays, and which ones regenerate faster than they erode.

  3. The Scarcity Shift

    Software engineering compensation was built on scarcity, not just difficulty. That scarcity is eroding. The people who survive are either unusually broad or unusually deep.